Date: a month ago   Category: Economy

Experts of the HSE expect ruble depreciation in the second half of the year — Rambler News Service


Growth of the oil prices in April will promote further strengthening of ruble, however in the second half of the year experts of the HSE expect foreign exchange deficit and depreciation of national currency to 68-70 rubles for dollar, follows from the bulletin "Comments on the State and Business" prepared by Higher School of Economics National Research University. "Further strengthening (ruble) will be promoted by growth of the oil prices in April. However in the second half of the year we expect formation of foreign exchange deficit in domestic market and ruble depreciation" — it is said in the bulletin. According to experts, the favorable situation with inflow of currency on the current operations and direct foreign investments which was observed in the I quarter will not last long. Decrease in inflow of currency and foreign investments can lead to depreciation of national currency in the second half of the year up to 68–70 rubles for dollar, experts consider. The HSE notes that it will be promoted by seasonal deterioration in dynamics of the account of the current operations and return to traditionally negative balance of direct foreign investments. "Besides, it is impossible to exclude decrease in the oil prices and imposition of new sanctions against Russia" — it is said in the bulletin.

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