Date: 9 months ago   Category: Finance

The MEDT expects return of dollar exchange rate to 64-65 rub until the end of the year — Rambler News Service


Photo: RIA News/Valery Melnikov of the Ministry of Economic Development (MEDT) expects that the exchange rate of dollar will return to 64-65 rub in October-December, 2018, it is told in "The forecast of social and economic development of the Russian Federation until 2024". The document is published by the press service of the ministry. "The fundamental factors determining ruble exchange rate to foreign currencies (considerable positive balance of the current account, steady indicators of public finances, economic growth) remain favorable. In these conditions of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation expects return of an exchange rate of ruble to the levels of 64-65 rubles for dollar in October-December, 2018 (that corresponds to average annual value of 61,7 rubles for US dollar)" — it is noted in the message. Among factors of depreciation of ruble in recent months the MEDT calls the easing of the majority of currencies of the countries with emerging markets caused by growth of interest rates in the USA, strengthening of trade contradictions between the largest world economy and also fears of investors of rather financial stability in the certain countries — first of all in Turkey and Argentina. Besides, the sanctions policy of the USA became one more factor. The ministry notes that after introduction in April of new restrictions on the Russian companies and businessmen expansion of the Russian award for risk and outflow of the foreign capital from the market of federal loan bond was observed. "For April-July nonresidents have sold federal loan bond for the sum of 345 billion rubles, and the share of their participation in this market was reduced by 6,5 items (to 28,0% for August 1). In August the additional pressure upon the Russian market was put by statements of the USA for possible introduction of additional sanctions measures concerning Russia" — specifies the ministry. Earlier, on September 10, 2018, the dollar exchange rate for the first time since March, 2016 has exceeded 70 rub. As of October 1 17:59 Moscow time the indicator grows for 0,06% — up to 65,57 rub.

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